29 December 2012

And so, the Age of the West declines & the Age of the East dawns

Mists of Pandaria character at WoW event
Sorry, indulge me. I'm headlining in portentous MMO gamespeak!

I've been reading the 2013 predictions for the online MMO game industry in 2013 from Massively staff, and it highlights a trend that I've been aware off for some time.

In the 20th century, America was the hub of English language culture through Hollywood, TV and the media, and from its dominant position, it's been the hub for much of the non-English speaking world too, particularly in Europe.

But two things, of varying importance, have changed: China (+ neighbours) is on the rise and Generation Z are upon us.

My son, 17 this month, is Generation Z. As I write, he is sitting on the sofa in a non-stop Skype conversation with his friends while they play FIFA 13 football together on the Xbox and simultaneously share posts & videos on Facebook (on his laptop) and SMS messages (on his iPhone).

The big TV in front of him (I rarely get to use it) is not for TV. He doesn't watch TV.

It has long been argued that online games are overtaking movies (Ars Technica 2007, The Guardian 2009), although maybe not as quickly as predicted (MVC 2012). I don't think traditional TV & movies will be entirely usurped (although trends such as Bollywood & Scandinavian Noir are steadily chipping away at American hegemony), but, quickly or slowly, the online game world is becoming more and more significant to people with a pulse.

... and the online games world appears to be shifting to the East.

Massive Multiplayer Online games (MMOs) may have started in the developer/design studios of California, but the industry quickly spread out. In the early days, Korea in particular, with its fibre-optic network (when in the UK we had woad on our faces and 58k dial-up modems!), created a huge MMO culture with games like Lineage, even though most people in the 'West' think that World of Warcraft (WoW) is the king of MMOs.

WoW subscriptions peaked somewhere over 12 million a couple of years ago, they are now around 10m players and trickling away. The content of its fourth and latest (Sep 2012) expansion is very revealing. The Mists of Pandaria introduces yet another continent and race to the World of Warcraft - Panda bears with martial arts skills.

A little odd for American & European players whose cultural references are Nordic poems, Arthurian legends, Grimm's fairytales and Tolkein's sagas all resulting in a world of wizards & warriors, elves, humans, dwarves and orcs... not kung fu pandas! The reason of course, is that Blizzard (WoW's maker) wants to attract more Chinese and Korean players.

That same re-alignment of MMO gaming focus to the Far East is what struck me in the 2013 predictions from Massively. The one major game title all the predictions mention is ArcheAge, due for release next summer. Its Chinese parentage is unmistakable.

Don't get me wrong. I welcome it. I like the cultural transition. It's exotic and exciting (well, apart from the pandas!), but what I'm noting is that; what before was the whiff of a trend, is now firming up into a clear cultural transition.

Even the mighty World of Tanks with its 40+ million players* (Americans, East Europeans and Russians love it) has just introduced Chinese tanks!

Image: Flickr/andytb

* The business model of MMOs is also changing. Traditionally they charged a subscription to play. Now many/most are free to play (F2P) but charge for in-game equipment, resources, or other premium services/abilities. So the 'number of players' (some may have tried it once) can't easily be compared to current subscribers.

15 December 2012

In Future Your Car Won't Work If Its Paperwork Is Out Of Date

Car keys
I'm just indulging in some blue skies thinking, knowing full well that somebody on an advisory panel at the Dept of Transport will have already been here!

I got my car back from its MOT test at the garage yesterday (it passed), and I was noticing that the Vehicle & Operator Services Agency (VOSA) which operates the annual MOT system now puts the mileage history (last 4 odometer readings) on the test certificate.

In fact there's an awful lot of data about our cars, our licenses, or vehicle tax and our insurance, all centralised at VOSA, DVLA and the Motor Insurers' Bureau (MIB) databases respectively, which is how - as we see each night in the endless fly-on-the-wall TV cop documentaries on the cableshite channels - the police's Automatic Number Plate Recognition (ANPR) cameras can spot a car without insurance, tax or MOT instantly.

Here come the forward thinking...

The latest and next generation vehicles are/will be mobile Internet devices in their own right, with their own IP numbers, like the Chevy Volt.

So, sooner or later some bright spark will realise we don't need to tie up Police resources stopping and processing the drivers of cars without valid paperwork. All we need to do is make it a manufacturers regulation that cars must be fitted with remote disablers. Then, when a certificate, license or tax disc runs out, it will be automatically disabled in its 'off' condition. IE The next time you try to start it, it won't run.

OK, drawbacks and dangers...

Such a system would be a blindingly obvious target for cyber warfare. Imagine the effect of disabling every vehicle in the country. So, the disablers would not be fitted to commercial or military vehicles.

Hard to imagine how it might be wrongly applied, but one proviso must be that the system must be immediately restorable. No filling out a form or waiting for office hours nonsense. If a driver walks out of the cinema with her kids on Boxing Day afternoon and finds her car disabled in the car park because her husband forgot to renew the insurance, she MUST be able to get out her credit card, phone the insurance company, pay, and have her car switched back on instantly, 24/365!

We're not trying to penalise honest motorists, just prevent poorly maintained, un-taxed or un-insured cars from getting on the road.

And maybe the police should be able to restore a car's mobility, at least temporarily, so they can move it if necessary. Eg. from a dangerous place, or a red route.

People won't like the idea of  "the authorities" having the power of control over their vehicles but the benefits seem worth it to me. Motoring is no longer the essence of freedom & independence it was in its early years. However the issue of 'mission creep' may have to be firmly guarded against. The police and other agencies would love the powers to remotely disable any vehicle they choose. And how long will it be before local government wants the power to disable the cars of Council Tax dodgers or other miscreants?

What do you think? Will it happen?

(Image: flickr/mynameisharsha)

09 December 2012

"Space Tourism" - Closer, but still no cigar

Golden Spike Moon lander
I've long been irritated by the way thrill rides into space are dressed up as "Space Tourism" and disseminated to the travel media as if it has something to do with the travel & tourism industry.

I know it's sheer pedantry, but I can't help it! (See this rant in 2006 and this in 2008)

It's partly come about through Richard Branson's involvement and the fact that he has an airline (and a rail company). The Virgin brand doesn't send travel journalists press releases about their Virgin Money banking activities or Virgin Active gyms, but does send them news of their Virgin Galactic space activities - go figure!

I did relent a little in 2010 when I realised that with a little further development, Branson's space ships could take-off from one space port and land at another, which would instantly turn Virgin Galactic into a transport company. If/when they announce that prospect, that would bring it firmly into the orbit (sic) of travel journalists.

And I may have to relent at little at this week's news of The Golden Spike Company, the commercial space start-up who is proposing to take paying clients to the moon using off-the-shelf space vehicles & components.

They seemingly address one of my key points back in 2006...

"When Virgin Galactic start taking people for a fortnight on the Moon or Mars, that'll be 'Space Tourism'."

Well, Golden Spike are proposing to do just that. Maybe not for a fortnight - more like 24-48 hours - but their guests will travel somewhere, get out and explore a bit, and then return home.

Technically that hits my semantic golden spike right on the head!

But am I going to write it up as a travel story? Sorry, no. I'll still leave it to the aerospace journalists.