Will Iran Interfere with the Mid-Terms?

 

Trump waving a pumped fist
    (Photo: Gage Skidmore CC BY-SA 2.0)


I haven't used this blog for a while, but it seems like a good spot to post predictions, so that, in the event I turn out to be right, I can say: "Yup. Told you so!"

I'm thinking that if Iran can hold out against Trump through the summer months, in Sept when the US mid-term election campaigns get underway they can bypass the Trump administration and go straight to the American people, saying...

"If the Republicans lose control of the Senate & Congress, we will open the Strait of Hormuz to free passage for all"

"And on nuclear: we won't enrich above 3.67% (far below weapons grade), we'll hand over 98% of our remaining stockpile of enriched uranium, and we'll submit to full-access weekly inspections by the IAEA (IE. the Obama Agreement)."

Despite their hatred for Iran, even MAGA might be tempted by autumn. 

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And, while I'm at it, I'll throw in another prediction for free.

I think China will probably launch an invasion of Taiwan on 24 Feb 2027. It's the traditional date for a spring offensive in the northern hemisphere, and they know the USA will not be in the mood for another conflict.

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